DANILO DZYUBAN

REFORMATION

Ottawa, 29 September 2026 · Danilo Dzyuban

In 2025 and 2026 the President of the United States called, again and again, for Canada to become the fifty-first state. His Vice-President, his Secretary of State and his Secretary of Commerce said the same. Duties under a declared emergency, a refused renewal of CUSMA and a tariff statute unused for ninety-six years stand behind the words. In the same two years the United States seized the President of Venezuela in his own capital, went to war with Iran, and demanded the purchase of Greenland under the threat of duties on eight of its Allies. No published instrument obliges any state to answer a nuclear attack on Canada with any particular action. The head of state of Canada is whoever is King of the United Kingdom.

I DURESS

2025

DateSaid or done
7 Jan 2025At Mar-a-Lago the President-elect is asked whether he will rule out military or economic coercion to take Greenland and the Panama Canal: “No, I can’t assure you on either of those two.” Of Canada he says he would use “economic force” and rules out military force. The border is an “artificially drawn line”, and “we basically protect Canada”. CNN · Radio Canada International
20 Jan 2025Inaugural address, on the Panama Canal: “We gave it to Panama, and we’re taking it back.” Executive Order 14172, signed the same day, renames the Gulf of Mexico the Gulf of America. The White House · GovInfo
1 Feb 2025Executive Order 14193 declares a national emergency over the northern border and imposes duties of 25 per cent on Canadian goods and 10 per cent on Canadian energy. In force 4 March 2025. GovInfo
2 Feb 2025In Panama City the Secretary of State tells the President of Panama that the status quo at the Canal is unacceptable and that “absent immediate changes, it would require the United States to take measures necessary to protect its rights under the Treaty.” Four days later Panama announces its withdrawal from China’s Belt and Road Initiative. Department of State · MercoPress
4 Mar 2025Before a joint session of Congress, on Greenland: “One way or the other, we’re going to get it.” CNBC
11 Mar 2025The President orders the duty on Canadian steel and aluminium doubled to 50 per cent and writes that Canada should become the fifty-first state. The increase is withdrawn the same day, after Ontario suspends its electricity surcharge. CNN
12 Mar 2025The Secretary of Commerce, on Fox Business: “the best way to actually merge the economies of Canada and the United States is for Canada to become our 51st state.” The Hill
2 Apr 2025Executive Order 14257 subjects imports from almost every country to an additional duty of 10 per cent, with higher rates for the countries listed in its annex. Goods of Canada and Mexico stay under the emergency duties of February. 90 Fed. Reg. 15041
Apr 2025The Secretary of State, on NBC’s Meet the Press before the federal election in Canada: the President thinks Canada would be better off as a state, and a country that cannot survive without unfair trade should become one. Department of State
6 May 2025In the Oval Office the Prime Minister of Canada says Canada is not for sale. The President answers: “Never say never.” NPR
27 May 2025The day the King opens the Parliament of Canada, the President posts that the Golden Dome will cost Canada $61 billion “if they remain a separate, but unequal, Nation” and nothing “if they become our cherished 51st State”. CBC
21 Jun 2025United States aircraft bomb Iran. The President: “We have completed our very successful attack on the three Nuclear sites in Iran, including Fordow, Natanz, and Esfahan.” NPR
25 Jun 2025At The Hague the Allies commit “to invest 5% of GDP annually on core defence requirements as well as defence-and security-related spending by 2035”. NATO
27 Jun 2025The President ends “ALL discussions on Trade with Canada” over its digital services tax. On 29 June Canada withdraws the tax, the day before its first payments fall due. CBC · CNBC
10 Jul 2025Letter to the Prime Minister of Canada: duties of 35 per cent from 1 August 2025, to rise if Canada retaliates. Executive order signed 31 July 2025. CBC
2 Sept 2025The United States military strikes a boat from Venezuela in the Caribbean and kills the eleven people aboard. The President calls them members of Tren de Aragua. CNN
5 Sept 2025Executive Order 14347 authorizes the Department of Defense to call itself the Department of War. GovInfo
23 Oct 2025The President terminates all trade negotiations with Canada over an Ontario advertisement that quotes President Reagan on tariffs. CNN
25 Oct 2025“Because of their serious misrepresentation of the facts, and hostile act, I am increasing the Tariff on Canada by 10% over and above what they are paying now.” CNN
Dec 2025The National Security Strategy of the United States: “we will assert and enforce a ‘Trump Corollary’ to the Monroe Doctrine”. The White House
16 Dec 2025The President orders a “total and complete blockade” of sanctioned oil tankers going into and out of Venezuela. CNN
21 Dec 2025The President names the Governor of Louisiana special envoy to Greenland. The Governor calls it “a volunteer position to make Greenland a part of the U.S.” Louisiana Illuminator · ABC News

2026

DateSaid or done
3 Jan 2026United States forces strike Venezuela and seize its President, Nicolás Maduro, and his wife, to face charges in New York. Military Times
7 Jan 2026The United States withdraws from 66 international organizations. Department of State · The White House
8 Jan 2026On Fox News, of the cartels: “we are going to start now hitting land”. “The cartels are running Mexico.” CNBC
17 Jan 2026Duties of 10 per cent are announced on Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands and Finland, to rise to 25 per cent on 1 June unless a deal is in place for “the Complete and Total purchase of Greenland”. NPR
21 Jan 2026At Davos, the day after the Prime Minister of Canada spoke there: “Canada lives because of the United States. Remember that, Mark, the next time you make your statements.” And: “Canada gets a lot of freebies from us.” Of Greenland: “I won’t use force.” The duties on the eight Allies are dropped the same day, after a “framework of a future deal” with the Secretary General of NATO. CBC · CBC · NPR
23 Jan 2026Canada’s invitation to the President’s Board of Peace is withdrawn. NBC News
24 Jan 2026A duty of 100 per cent on all Canadian goods is threatened if Canada makes a trade deal with China: “If Governor Carney thinks he is going to make Canada a ‘Drop Off Port’ for China […] he is sorely mistaken.” CNN
29 Jan 2026The President says the United States is decertifying Bombardier Global Express jets and threatens a duty of 50 per cent on every aircraft made in Canada. CNBC
29 Jan 2026An executive order declares a national emergency over Cuba and sets up duties on goods from any country that sells or otherwise provides oil to Cuba. The American Presidency Project
Jan 2026The Financial Times reports that officials of the Department of State met three times since April 2025 with leaders of the Alberta Prosperity Project, which seeks a referendum on the secession of Alberta from Canada. A senior official of the Department: “The Department regularly meets with civil society types.” CNN · NBC News
10 Feb 2026On the Gordie Howe International Bridge: “I will not allow this bridge to open until the United States is fully compensated for everything we have given them.” CNN
20 Feb 2026The Supreme Court of the United States: “IEEPA does not authorize the President to impose tariffs.” The same day Proclamation 11012 imposes, for 150 days, a surcharge of 10 per cent on imports from every country under section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974. Goods of Canada entering free of duty under CUSMA are excepted. Learning Resources, Inc. v. Trump · 91 Fed. Reg. 9339
28 Feb 2026The United States and Israel strike Iran. The Supreme Leader of Iran, Ali Khamenei, is killed. CNN · NPR
10 Mar 2026The President calls the Prime Minister of Canada “the future Governor of Canada”. CTV News
1 Jun 2026“51st State!”, posted over a report that Canada had entered a technical recession. TIME
1 Jul 2026At the first joint review the United States declines to renew CUSMA: “The United States did not agree to renew the USMCA in its current form.” Canada and Mexico had asked to renew it. The agreement now depends on a review every year. White & Case
7–8 Jul 2026At the NATO summit in Ankara the President says Greenland “should be controlled by the United States” and that the United States could pull its forces out of Europe. The United States strikes Iran overnight, after Iran hits three merchant ships in the Strait of Hormuz. CNBC · Associated Press
20 Jul 2026Proclamations 11046, 11047 and 11048 impose duties of 50 per cent on Canadian alcoholic beverages, dairy and motor vehicles under section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930. It is the first use of that section in its ninety-six years, at its statutory ceiling. The proclamation recites that the section authorizes the exclusion of Canadian goods from the United States. 91 Fed. Reg. 46639
21 Aug 2026The Secretary of Commerce hardens the terms of a negotiated trade agreement less than an hour before the deadline, and the talks between Canada and the United States collapse. The Hub · Global News
22 Aug 2026The duties under section 338 enter into force after a suspension of three days. Proclamation 11056, 91 Fed. Reg. 54789
24 Aug 2026The Vice-President, at a rally in Maine: “We have to remember Canada is a state. Sorry, Freudian slip.” Canada “quite literally would get invaded by a foreign country were it not for the umbrella of protection provided by the United States of America.” HuffPost
7 Sept 2026“NO MORE SELLING BOMBARDIER IN THE UNITED STATES!” CBC
16 Sept 2026The European Union offers Canada the place of its first associate member. The President calls the idea “laughable”. NPR
19 Sept 2026Denmark agrees to a new United States military presence in Greenland. The Secretary of State: “Greenland will forever be part of the strategic defense area of North America and exclude any adversary from it and the surrounding area.” NPR
22 Sept 2026At the General Assembly of the United Nations: “The United States will no longer permit threats to America to gain a foothold anywhere in the Western Hemisphere — and if necessary, we will use our unmatched military might to secure the vital national interests of the United States.” The White House

II UNDEFENDED

Instrument or dateWhat it says
North Atlantic TreatyArticle 5: each Party assists the Party attacked by “such action as it deems necessary”. Article 13: any Party leaves one year after notice. NATO
NORAD Agreement28 April 2006. Aerospace warning, aerospace control and maritime warning. No undertaking by either Party to defend the other against nuclear attack. Twelve months’ notice ends it. Canada Treaty Series E105060
14 Sept 2017The deputy commander of NORAD tells the Commons defence committee that the U.S. policy is not to defend Canada against a ballistic missile attack. CBC
24 Jun 2025On the way to the NATO summit at The Hague, the President is asked about Article 5: “Depends on your definition.” “There’s numerous definitions of Article 5.” Al Jazeera
17 Sept 2026National Defence will neither confirm nor deny that it holds any record of an obligation of any state to defend Canada against nuclear attack. The finding
23 Sept 2026The NORAD and USNORTHCOM FOIA office: the records of HQ NORAD are not subject to Canada’s access law and not under the control of National Defence. The message in full
23 Sept 2026The Prime Minister of Canada tells The New York Times that he has prepared for the “extreme tail risk” of military action by the United States against Canada. The Minister of National Defence, on 24 September: “a tail risk”. CBC

III DESERTION

The United Kingdom

DateSaid or done
27 Feb 2025In the Oval Office the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom hands the President a letter from the King inviting him to an unprecedented second state visit. Asked about Canada: “I think you’re trying to find a divide between us that doesn’t exist.” Global News
14 Jun 2025On the way to Ottawa, the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom: “Canada is an independent, sovereign country and a much-valued member of the Commonwealth.” ITV News
10 Jul 2025The Northwood Declaration with France: “there is no extreme threat to Europe that would not prompt a response by our two nations.” Canada is not named. GOV.UK
16–18 Sept 2025State visit of the President of the United States to the United Kingdom, at Windsor Castle.
18 Dec 2025The UK-France Nuclear Steering Group meets on “strengthening deterrence in Europe”. GOV.UK
17–18 Jan 2026Greenland, a territory of Denmark. The United Kingdom takes part in a Danish-led military exercise there and is threatened with duties for it. The Prime Minister of the United Kingdom: “Applying tariffs on allies for pursuing the collective security of NATO allies is completely wrong.” House of Commons Library
18 Aug 2026The Ministry of Defence guide to the deterrent, as updated: “we would only consider using our nuclear weapons in extreme circumstances of self-defence, including the defence of our NATO Allies.” GOV.UK
25 Sept 2026Requests under the Freedom of Information Act 2000 to the Ministry of Defence and the Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office for any instrument, beyond Article 5, of an obligation of the United Kingdom to defend Canada against nuclear attack, and for the conditions under which its nuclear declaration to NATO applies to an attack on Canada; answers due 23 October 2026. The same question to the House of Lords International Relations and Defence Committee; answer due 15 October 2026.

Australia

DateSaid or done
5 Mar 2026The Prime Minister of Canada in Canberra. The joint statement commits the two countries to “a world governed by rights and rules, not fear or force” and to seek combined military activities in the Indo-Pacific. It does not name the United States, annexation or the sovereignty of Canada. Five days later the President of the United States calls the Prime Minister of Canada “the future Governor of Canada”. Prime Minister of Australia
25 Sept 2026The secretariat of the Joint Standing Committee on Foreign Affairs, Defence and Trade, within seven hours of a letter on the obligation to defend Canada against nuclear attack: “The Committee does not hold records of the type you refer to, which fall outside its remit.” The matter is referred to the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade. The answer in full
25 Sept 2026Requests under the Freedom of Information Act 1982: to the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade for any document recording an obligation of Australia to defend Canada against nuclear attack, and to both that Department and the Department of Defence for the instrument of the assurance of the United States to Australia; answers due 25 October 2026.

The Commonwealth

The Commonwealth Charter of 2012 contains no undertaking of mutual defence. On 15 May 2025 The Round Table, the Commonwealth journal of international affairs, recorded that the Secretary-General had issued no statement of solidarity with Canada, and set it against the public solidarity of the Commonwealth with the United Kingdom over the Falkland Islands in 1982. The Round Table

IV ONE-WAY ALLEGIANCE

On 28 October 2019 the Court of Appeal of Quebec held that, by a principle of symmetry found in the preamble and section 9 of the Constitution Act, 1867, whoever is King of the United Kingdom is King of Canada. The Supreme Court of Canada declined to hear an appeal. Motard c. Procureur général du Canada, 2019 QCCA 1826

I swear (or affirm) that I will be faithful and bear true allegiance to Her Majesty Queen Elizabeth the Second, Queen of Canada, Her Heirs and Successors, and that I will faithfully observe the laws of Canada, including the Constitution, which recognizes and affirms the Aboriginal and treaty rights of First Nations, Inuit and Métis peoples, and fulfil my duties as a Canadian citizen.

Citizenship Act, R.S.C. 1985, c. C-29, Schedule, oath or affirmation of citizenship, text in force as captured on 28 September 2026
DateSaid or done
4 Mar 2025The King wears Canadian decorations aboard HMS Prince of Wales, the day after receiving the Prime Minister of Canada. No statement is issued. Newsweek
27 May 2025The King opens the Parliament of Canada with a speech written by the Government of Canada. The same day the President of the United States offers Canada the Golden Dome free of charge as the fifty-first state.
16–18 Sept 2025The King receives the President of the United States at Windsor Castle.
28 Apr 2026At the state dinner in the White House the King reminds the President, in jest, that he is the head of state of Canada. CBC
1 Jun 2026The President posts “51st State!”.
New citizens of Canada swear allegiance to the King, his heirs and his successors. No published instrument obliges the government of any other realm of the King to answer a nuclear attack on Canada with any particular action. Allegiance runs one way.

V REFORMATION

Canadian heritage of vassalage, subjecthood and satellitism.

Verification

CaptureSHA-256, first 16
CNN, 7 January 2025cbda5682dc6de345
Radio Canada International, 7 January 2025ba9230209ca921f3
The White House, inaugural address, 20 January 2025af351df59c4d128f
Executive Order 14172, GovInfo344168a90a12c9cc
Department of State, 2 February 20250608c35601c30ca9
MercoPress, 7 February 20259d0944dee0a12d4d
CNBC, 4 March 2025fc2279b6e43e5819
Executive Order 14257, Federal Register3a4df0606c889ae0
CBC, 27 May 2025875938f9c77dcca0
NPR, 21 June 20250b034adc08d152d6
Al Jazeera, 24 June 2025925f55a81fa18540
The Hague Summit Declaration, NATO88c81a169110b3fa
CBC, 27 June 20256998197a4fb74b5a
CNBC, 30 June 20253698078bb0eeb025
CNN, 2 September 2025a379a39850148c59
Executive Order 14347, GovInfo1f768952347ec2e4
National Security Strategy, The White Housedf82a9913ce702b9
CNN, 16 December 2025c1411c6416ef283a
Louisiana Illuminator, 21 December 20251febb3f5d86b8821
ABC News, December 20258af8c9e8807cc00d
Military Times, 3 January 20261acb30b16fb073e1
Department of State, 7 January 2026d004a1ac71b3857a
The White House, 7 January 20268ff2909c35607707
CNBC, 9 January 20260ba72cf6128dee61
NPR, 17 January 2026486b55e1e1edeb48
CBC, 21 January 20264de581151a487aee
NPR, 21 January 2026452121953187107e
The American Presidency Project, 29 January 20264ab5a9e9976c1274
CNN, 30 January 2026fbd618bca7bf8683
NBC News, January 2026559ea4e14b68e46e
Learning Resources, Inc. v. Trump, Supreme Court of the United States6412456ead56a0b5
Proclamation 11012, Federal Register2f8b6e611df884c8
CNN, 28 February 2026c701fe8ba0e1cdb5
NPR, 1 March 202655c67e41c8d383b2
CNBC, 7 July 20265252ffc24b1fe886
Associated Press, 8 July 2026d27af7faefb3331a
Proclamations 11046, 11047, 11048 and 11056, GovInfof8e536b413199373 93c21e5645c9aa0b e4b7af55b55baaa2 29c5689b61bdee6e
The Hub, 25 August 2026a5d8c152689e8096
Global News, August 20269802efddf06c05ff
HuffPost, 24 August 2026914ecaa4e34157c1
NPR, 16 September 2026bbe0266574fb68b6
NPR, 19 September 2026450786f391b45e04
The White House, 22 September 2026e60943b71ade62c4
North Atlantic Treaty, nato.inta63656650dffe629
NORAD Agreement, Canada Treaty Series E105060773e001b73a8b3bd
CBC, 14 September 2017cf405e8049398974
NORAD and USNORTHCOM FOIA office, 23 September 20263850adcb8c3cfad3
CBC, 25 September 2026350be2c824cd2345
Northwood Declaration, GOV.UK content record101e08ccb36d5448
UK-France Nuclear Steering Group, GOV.UK content recordd5788f050f5fabda
Ministry of Defence guide to the deterrent, 25 September 20265d4e1ff87434e54a
Australia-Canada Joint Statement, 5 March 202657649eddf0940403
Joint Standing Committee on Foreign Affairs, Defence and Trade, answer of the secretariatc2819c9f5c6dd614
Citizenship Act, Justice Laws Website, 28 September 202623e06e834187dde8

Citation: Danilo Dzyuban, “Reformation” (29 September 2026).